euro '16

the shirt makes the winner!

Which football shirt is most likely to be gracing the backs of the Euro 2016 winners?

We analyzed three shirt characteristics (the color, the collar and the pattern on the shirt)

of previous Euro winners and compared them to this year's kits to work out the probability.

previous winner jerseys

see which shirt characteristics turn up over and over again in the winners line-up.

2012

spain

2008

spain

2004

greece

2000

france

1996

germany

1992

denmark

1988

netherlands

1984

france

1980

west-germany

1976

czechoslovakia

1972

west-germany

1968

italy

1964

spain

1960

soviet union

chart_sec1_left

collar type

crew neck

v-neck

chart_sec1_center

jersey color

jersey colors

chart_sec1_right

patterns

no pattern

with pattern

team jerseys of 2016

breakdown of shirt characteristics for this year's tournament.

chart_sec2_left

collar type

crew neck

v-neck

chart_sec2_center

jersey color

jersey colors

chart_sec2_right

patterns

no pattern

with pattern

2016 winning probabilities

the shirt most likely t o be worn by the winners will be red, with a pattern and a V-neck.

these teams have that shirt

spain

russia

belgium

turkey

croatia

probabilité de gagner pour chaque combinaison

le graphique, divisé entre col rond et col v, représente la probabilité de gagner pour chaque combinaison de caractéristiques (type de col, couleur, et motifs).

chart_sec3_pie

crew neck

v - neck

jersey colors

with pattern

no pattern

winning team probability

le graphique, divisé entre col rond et col v, représente la probabilité de gagner pour chaque combinaison de caractéristiques (type de col, couleur, et motifs).

chart_sec3_bar

spain

russia

belgium

turkey

croatia

czech republic

austria

switzerland

albania

hungary

wales

portugal

poland

slovakia

island

italy

england

germany

france

ukraine

sweden

northern ireland

ireland

romania

col v - neck + red + pattern

NOTE: Our very scientific calculations use the probability that each 2016 team has an equal chance of winning, with the shirt characteristics of the past winning shirts being the decisive measure of success.




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